Crypto Market Performance

Crypto Market Performance

Market Forecast (January 5 – January 9)

• BTC: USD 87,000 to 93,000
• ETH: USD 3,000 to 3,500
• SOL: USD 129 to 150

Weekly Highlights

1. On December 29, Lu Lei, Vice Governor of the People’s Bank of China, announced that the PBOC will release the Action Plan on Further Strengthening the Management and Service System and Related Financial Infrastructure Construction of the Digital RMB. The new-generation digital RMB framework officially launched on January 1, 2026
2. On December 29, Indian police arrested a former Coinbase customer service representative in Hyderabad, suspected of involvement in the internal data breach disclosed by Coinbase in May. This marks the first known arrest in the case, confirmed by Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong
3. According to LatePost, Meta acquired Butterfly Effect, the developer of the AI application Manus, for billions of dollars. This represents Meta’s third-largest acquisition to date, following WhatsApp and ScaleAI. Before the acquisition, Manus was reportedly raising funding at a USD 2 billion valuation, with negotiations completed in approximately ten days
4. On December 30, Trust Wallet compensated affected users approximately USD 8.5 million for stolen assets
5. On December 31, supported by Federal Reserve rate cuts and accelerated AI investment, global equity markets are on track for their strongest annual performance in six years, with the MSCI World Equity Index up 21% in 2025
6. On January 4, Tom Lee publicly supported BitMine’s authorized share capital increase, with BMNR closing up 14.88%
7. On January 3, an explosion in Caracas, Venezuela, triggered power outages near a military base. The crypto market experienced a brief, mild pullback following the incident

Macroeconomic Developments

1. US initial jobless claims for the week ending December 27 came in at 199,000, the lowest level since late November and below expectations of 220,000
2. According to CME FedWatch data on January 4, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January stands at 16.6%, while the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 83.4%

ETFs

Future Outlook

Project Progress

1. Ethereum-focused program The Daily Gwei will resume weekly updates on January 5, 2026
2. The deadline for claiming the social application-based Christmas Soulbound NFT is January 7, 2026
3. Web3 bot company XMAQUINA will partner with Virtuals Protocol for a DEUS community sale on January 8. The auction begins at 20:00, with an FDV of USD 60 million, 33% liquid at TGE, and the remaining 67% vesting linearly over twelve months. Eligible participants may earn a 20% DEUS reward

Important Events

1. January 7, 21:15: US December ADP employment data release
2. January 8, 21:30: US initial jobless claims for the week ending January 3
3. January 9, 21:30: US December unemployment rate release

Token Unlocks

1. Hyperliquid will unlock 1.2 million team tokens on January 6, with monthly unlocks thereafter
2. Jito (JTO) unlocks 11.31 million tokens on January 7, representing 1.14% of circulating supply
3. Movement (MOVE) unlocks 161 million tokens on January 9, representing 1.62% of circulating supply
4. Linea (LINEA) unlocks 1.44 billion tokens on January 10, representing 2% of circulating supply

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